and they are likely to lose maine, they may lose massachusetts, where scott brown a rerunning and may lose indiana where dick luger was primaried this year and richard murdoch running against donnelly. a good pickup opportunities, nebraska and north dakota, but most of the reigning ones of these races are very, very close, so if you need five or six, what we seem to be looking at here is a replay of 2010 where the numbers are possible, but the republicans to take control are pretty much going to have to run the table and may depend how mitt romney does that night. >> paul: steve, is this a candidate problem in part? scott brown has done, i mean, is a tremendous political talent, very, very good politician for that state, but it looks like he may lose to elizabeth warren just because that state is so liberal? >> yeah, well, let me answer your question, i think it's pretty lousy candidates on the republican side of the aisle and democrats are recruiting pretty good candidates this year, examination, bob carey in nebraska is making that price potentially tight. a red state. your home sta